Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.186176 0.221339 0.260792 0.308260 0.363742 0.426462 0.502656
2025-05-04 0.138944 0.185456 0.243397 0.320540 0.420189 0.544159 0.709634
2025-05-11 0.107086 0.156060 0.222067 0.316844 0.448620 0.624401 0.875506
2025-05-18 0.083559 0.131184 0.199782 0.304687 0.459705 0.678658 1.009199
2025-05-25 0.066003 0.110760 0.179146 0.289721 0.462071 0.717922 1.123049
2025-06-01 0.057235 0.101832 0.173584 0.295347 0.494075 0.801923 1.309621
2025-06-08 0.047345 0.089120 0.159741 0.285242 0.499195 0.844205 1.435299
2025-06-15 0.042205 0.083562 0.156634 0.291915 0.531593 0.931946 1.641106
2025-06-22 0.037279 0.077473 0.151556 0.294154 0.556159 1.008572 1.835386
2025-06-29 0.032354 0.070502 0.143764 0.290199 0.568867 1.065620 2.000997
2025-07-06 0.028277 0.064489 0.136825 0.286706 0.581590 1.123296 2.172413
2025-07-13 0.026230 0.062336 0.137065 0.296978 0.621097 1.232653 2.446945
2025-07-20 0.025556 0.063248 0.144021 0.322401 0.694562 1.415210 2.880999
2025-07-27 0.023689 0.061188 0.144540 0.334789 0.743864 1.557614 3.254573
2025-08-03 0.020798 0.056183 0.137894 0.330903 0.759069 1.634767 3.508316
2025-08-10 0.017731 0.050142 0.127950 0.318237 0.753869 1.670040 3.681159
2025-08-17 0.014951 0.044267 0.117430 0.302646 0.740099 1.685764 3.814693
2025-08-24 0.013743 0.042335 0.116114 0.308507 0.775169 1.807861 4.183020
2025-08-31 0.011862 0.038158 0.108520 0.297979 0.770909 1.844126 4.369781
2025-09-07 0.011016 0.036791 0.107954 0.304932 0.808874 1.977301 4.781296
2025-09-14 0.010062 0.034910 0.105723 0.307264 0.835790 2.087886 5.151961
2025-09-21 0.008971 0.032376 0.101297 0.303144 0.846050 2.160798 5.442867
2025-09-28 0.008026 0.030110 0.097262 0.299505 0.857060 2.236407 5.746745